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TSLAmomentumWAIT

TSLA Momentum Breakout

55% Win Rate0% confidenceSwing (1–20 days)

Captures TSLA breakouts above the 20-day high with MACD histogram confirmation and RSI momentum filter. Designed for swing traders looking for explosive directional moves after consolidation periods.

📡 Current Signal

WAITUpdated: 2025-02-25

TSLA consolidating below 20-day high. No breakout trigger yet.

📊 Indicators

20-Day HighMACDRSI(14)ATR(14)

🧪 Backtest Results

PeriodJan 2020 – Dec 2024
Win Rate55%
CAGR21.3%🔒 Premium
Profit Factor1.82×🔒 Premium
Max Drawdown-18.4%🔒 Premium
Total Trades87🔒 Premium

📐 Methodology

## TSLA Momentum Breakout — Full Methodology

 

### Entry Criteria

1. **Price** closes above the 20-day high (rolling)

2. **MACD histogram** is positive and rising for at least 2 consecutive bars

3. **RSI(14)** is between 55 and 75 — confirms momentum without overbought risk

 

### Exit Rules

- **Profit target:** 2× ATR(14) from entry

- **Stop loss:** 1× ATR(14) below entry, trailed to breakeven after 1× ATR gain

- **Time stop:** Close position after 20 trading days if neither target nor stop is hit

 

### Position Sizing

- Risk 1% of portfolio per trade

- Position size = (Portfolio × 0.01) / (Entry − Stop)

 

### Filters

- Skip signals on FOMC days and earnings week

- Require average daily volume > 20M shares (always met for TSLA)

- No entry if VIX > 35 (extreme fear environment)

 

### Backtest Notes

Tested on TSLA daily bars from Jan 2020 to Dec 2024. Includes commission of $0.005/share. Slippage modeled at 0.05% per trade. Survivorship bias: N/A (single stock). Curve-fitting risk is moderate — parameters were not optimized, but chosen from common technical analysis literature.

🔒 Full methodology requires a subscription

🏷️ Tags

TSLAmomentumswingbreakout

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⚠️ DISCLAIMER: All trading signals are AI-generated and for informational purposes only. This is NOT financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade at your own risk. TokenSpy is not a registered investment advisor.

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